Tuesday, August 5, 2014

Oh Dear!

I've never wanted anything more than to be right about one thing before I died.  It's looking as if I'm going to get my wish!  The current "Azeri offensive" on NK started on.....you guessed it: July 28.

I don't think I have to remind anyone of the 100 year anniversary of this date, but you may look it up if you must.


Monday, August 4, 2014

'invisible' participants

The English speaking edition of the Chinese Global Times ran an article about the upcoming Russian-Armenian talks having 'invisible' participants.  http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/828960.shtml#.UptxeMQ3uSo

I was unable to discern who these participants were, but the finger seemed to be pointing at the Ukraine.

Things are getting noisy....

My Google alert today sent me articles from both Bloomberg and Businessweek titled "New War Risk on Russian Fringe Amid Armenia-Azeri Clashes."  The articles were similar, but the Bloomberg one had more detail.

The South Caucasus pot is clearly boiling, and it seems to be only a matter of time.  How much time?  I wish I knew.  
According to "Vestnik," Armenia lost 71 soldiers last week. http://vestnikkavkaza.net/news/politics/58400.html  I don't think the US ever lost 71 soldiers in one week during the Iraq War.  

Another website named "Worldbulletin.net" penned a screed titled "Russia 'concerned' over Azerbaijan-Armenia clashes."  The tone was bland.

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Fight'n Words!

"Azerbaijan's Defense Minister orders a tenfold response to fire from the Armenian side."  http://en.trend.az/news/karabakh/2289616.html

Sounds to me like he wants to give war a chance.

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

I'm back

I had vowed not to write anything more since my forecast for the "Olympic War" didn't take place, but exceptions can be made.  A nasty border incident between Armenia and Azerbaijan has the former vowing "severe consequences" to the latter.  http://asbarez.com/123897/armenia-threatens-%E2%80%98severe-consequences%E2%80%99-after-azeri-border-shooting/

Eurasianet.org identifies Armenia as "Rattling Sabers."  http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68496

Neither one of these articles bodes well for peace on earth, as this seems to be the chosen spot for the spark of the upcoming conflagration.  Lyndon LaRouche referred to the south Caucasus as the Balkans of the 21st century.

Furthermore, the Economist.com berated Azerbaijan about its human rights record. http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2014/05/azerbaijan-and-council-europe

Can you say "between a rock and a hard place?"

Friday, November 29, 2013

Thawing a frozen conflict?

At 10:24 GMT on November 29, the News Az website was trumpeting the good news announced in Turkey that Yerevan was going to withdraw from two "occupied Azeri regions."   Less than one hour later,  Azerbaijani MP, Asim Mollazade, was quoted by the same site as saying this was nothing more than more lies from Armenia, and that they should return every inch of Azeri territory forthwith.

Is this all just political theater?  I don't know.  Clearly, the Ukraine joining the Russian Eurasian Customs Union must be upsetting to the Azeris.

In other news, Azeri bureaucrats accuse Armenia of "hydro terror" for not maintaining the Sarsang reservoir adequately.  It is a man made lake and damn built during Soviet times in the NK area.

Finally, on the panorama.am website, a "Iskandaryan" assures readers that Putin's upcoming visit to Yerevan will cement Russia's strategic commitment to Armenia, though this commitment will not interfere with Russian business interests in Azerbaijan.

Saturday, November 23, 2013

Russian Colonel, "Bring It On."

Well, he didn't exactly say that, but the commander of the 102nd Russian military base in Gyumri, Amermenia, Colonel Andrey Ruzinsky was quoted by the “Krasnaya Zvezda” (Red Star) newspaper as saying “If Azerbaijan starts military operation in Nagorno Karabakh, the military base can join the conflict.”

While the Russian Defense Minister, Army General Sergei Shoygu, claimed the statement was a misinterpretation by the journalist, it seems to be a clear indication of the Russian Bear ever so briefly pulling off the velvet glove to show the iron fist.  Stay tuned for Sochi!